Is defeating Russia the solution to end the war in Ukraine?

Giovanni Basta
Politically Fair
Published in
5 min readDec 28, 2022

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For almost one year, the most influential leaders in the West have repeated the same story: we can’t have peace, negotiations or dialogues with Russia until Moscow removes its troops from Ukraine and returns to the conditions pre-invasion.

  • But is this realistic?
  • Is there a genuine will to help the Ukrainian population?
  • And what exactly does it mean for the entire world?
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Is the retreat of Russian soldiers from Ukraine possible?

If we look at President Putin’s speeches pre-invasion, for more than 15 years, he advocated for diplomatic solutions. As even President Macron highlighted, Putin’s biggest concern, which sounds reasonable, is NATO expansion. The idea that Western weapons and soldiers are at Russia’s borders is scary, senseless and full of questions. It’s important to understand that NATO, in 1991, promised Russia that they wouldn’t expand one inch more over Germany. It isn’t part of the official documents, but meeting notes and politicians’ declarations confirm Putin’s version.

As usual, in our analysis, we don’t have the goal to tell you who is right and who is not but to offer you a new perspective. We strongly believe that solving issues is crucial to analyse facts without censoring any, like Russia and the West have done till now. Propaganda is not the solution. Discussions and acknowledging the problems is the key to a diplomatic way out.

Putin’s requests pre-invasion.

President Putin’s position pre-invasion was clear.

  • Donbas should be politically independent;
  • Ukraine should remain neutral;
  • NATO has to stop its dangerous expansion.

We want to highlight that since 2014, Russia has tried a diplomatic solution and signed two Minsk agreements to bring peace to Donbas. But unfortunately, the political initiative didn’t work. NATO kept expanding, and Donbas citizens suffered. Therefore in 2022, the invasion started. We aren’t supporting the military operation but instead acknowledging facts and providing new perspectives.

Our questions are:

  • Why didn’t the European Union force the deals?
  • And why did the E.U. not request U.N. soldiers to create a safe zone?
  • Why was America pumping weapons and support to Ukraine?
  • Why didn’t most of Europe’s population know that there was a war for eight years in Donbas?

Too many questions that tell us, at least, that President Putin didn’t get sick and mad like the West’s propaganda told us at the beginning of the invasion. And if you are living in Europe, don’t worry. Russia doesn’t intend to invade you or rebuild the old Russian empire. It requires a nuclear war; frankly, the world won’t exist anymore, so this is pure propaganda.

Ukraine has a vital internal issue caused by the illegal removal of President Yanukovich in 2014. It led to 15,000 deaths in eight years, shelling of civilian apartments and violations of human rights, as reported by the U.N. in 2016.

Picture from PoliticallyFair.com

The reality changed. Is it time to accept it?

If Russia’s requests were more diplomatic and focused on stopping NATO expansion, unfortunately, the situation looks pretty different today, December 2022.

  • Russia is occupying four regions of Ukraine;
  • Ukraine is in economic default and kept alive by the West’s money and weapons;
  • Half of Ukraine is facing shortages of energy and water;
  • Russia deployed another 300 thousand soldiers, and it’s massively bombing Ukraine, probably to weaken Ukraine’s military and force millions of people to leave Ukraine and cause a significant migrants crisis inside the E.U.;

The “support” provided by the West to Ukraine via suicidal sanctions and increasing the level of the conflict with more advanced weapons put Ukraine in a worse position than the one pre-invasion. The West’s goal seems to support the Kyiv regime more than the Ukrainians.

So, is defeating Russia the solution to end the war?

After everything we explained, Russia doesn’t need a compromise. On the contrary, Moscow is preparing for a major assault on Kyiv in the coming months. Ukraine needs diplomacy desperately because if Russia enter Kyiv and the West reduces its support, Ukraine risks its end.

Defeating Russia’s military is pure madness. We say so not only because it will take years but mainly because it passes from a nuclear war that will end the entire world, and with all the respect for Ukraine, this is not even thinkable.

Let’s be clear, even the top U.S. General, Mark Milley, said that there are “low probability that Ukraine can push Russia out of its territory.”

At this point, we would like to ask your opinion about the West’s strategy.

  • Do you think it is helping Ukraine?
  • Or is this approach destroying Ukraine?
  • And at what economic cost, but in particular, in terms of life, should it come?

The first Putin request was to have an independent Donbas and a neutral Ukraine. But, unfortunately, the West decided pre-invasion and now to not talk to Putin. Zelensky made even a childish law that prevented him from negotiating with Putin.

Was this war preventable?

Yes! How? The West must use the right weapon: diplomacy. The West can’t ignore a superpower like Russia for decades. Russia started to warn Ukraine in 2018, amassing soldiers at Ukraine’s borders. How the West tried to prevent the invasion? Believe it or not, NATO did three military exercises in Ukraine territory.

Don’t you think this is a provocation? How can it be good to build a good relationship with Russia?

In our opinion, a military defeat of Russia is not even an option because it passes by a nuclear confrontation that only mad people may wish. Let’s not forget that the four regions annexed are now part of Russia, according to the new laws signed by Putin. Therefore those regions follow the nuclear doctrine protection of the Russian Federation. Again, the mistake was avoiding diplomacy for years.

The fact that the army confrontation reached this horrible level of atrocity and destruction is another mistake made by the West. Pumping heavy weapons into Ukraine doesn’t protect people; instead, it escalates the conflict to a dangerous level, as we are witnessing.

Even if the Ukrainians push the Russians out of Ukraine, the unanswered questions pre-invasion will remain still open.

  • How is the civil war in Donbas going to end?
  • How is NATO going to solve Russia’s security concerns?
  • And won’t Russia reorganise and attack Ukraine again, as they previously did with Chechnya?

We need answers, not weapons. We need collaboration and compromises on both sides, not propaganda. Pushing out Russia is a sentence that today doesn’t make sense. What is sad and shameful is how the West didn’t act to prevent the invasion. Unfortunately, today Ukraine and the world are paying the consequences of diplomacy failures.

America must guarantee the security requests Moscow needs. The world needs peace and stability, not dangerous expansions from NATO or Russia. It’s logical, but sadly, logic is not always part of politics, where money, interests and power are the main ingredients of a toxic way to rule the world.

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Giovanni Basta
Politically Fair

Explore new perspectives on politics and global affairs with me. Let's go over the mainstream narrative. Stay informed and gain valuable insights.